Zhongxin Finance, June 8. On the 8th, the State Council Information Office held a regular briefing on State Council policies. When talking about the judgment on the growth rate of foreign trade in the future, Wang Shouwen, Vice Minister of Commerce and Deputy Representative of International Trade Negotiation, said , we must be soberly aware that there are still a series of uncertainties in foreign trade.
For example, in the first aspect, the world economic recovery is still relatively fragile, and demand growth is slow. In April, the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund both lowered their growth rates for 2022 by nearly 1 percentage point.At the same time, the current global inflationary pressure is relatively high, which means that the income of the global people will be eroded and negatively affected by the expenditure on foreign trade products.The CPI of the United States in April reached 8.3%, and that of the European Union reached 7.5%, which will have an impact on the demand for foreign trade.The domestic logistics timeliness has declined, and there is still a certain degree of stagnation in the industrial chain and supply chain.For example, in May, my country's manufacturing PMI supplier delivery time index was 44.1%, less than the critical point of 50%. The operating pressure of foreign trade enterprises is now relatively large with the rise of raw materials.
Despite such uncertain factors, we must see that the next development of foreign trade also has bright spots and positive aspects.The first is that the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China has effectively coordinated epidemic prevention and control and social and economic development. The epidemic situation in our country has shown a downward trend, and the resumption of work and production is progressing in an orderly manner.As long as this aspect is done well, the normal production and living order will be gradually restored, and the logistics blockages will be gradually opened up, the integrity of our foreign trade industry chain and the competitiveness of the foreign trade industry will be brought into full play.
The second aspect is the intensive introduction of support policies.Not long ago, the State Council issued a package of 33 policies and measures to stabilize the economy in six areas. In December last year, the State Council issued a foreign trade support policy. This time, the State Council has issued a foreign trade support policy. The superposition of these policies will definitely play a role in the growth of foreign trade. enhancement.
In addition, my country has more and more FTA partners.RCEP officially came into effect on January 1 this year. Now, partners who have signed free trade agreements with the world, their trade with them has reached 35% of our country's foreign trade.The tax reduction and trade facilitation effects of these free trade agreements will also play a very important role in promoting the development of our foreign trade.
