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The trading volume in May increased by 0.38% month-on-month, and the futures market is expected to pick up

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2022-06-10 09:50:07

日前,中国期货业协会发布了最新统计数据。单边看,5月全国期货交易市场成交量约4.71亿手,成交额约40.10万亿元,同比分别下降25.92%和19.49%,分别增长0.38%和下降 1.83%。

从今年来看,1-5月全国期货市场累计成交约24.74亿手,累计成交约209.56万亿元,同比分别下降20.84%和12.44%。专家认为,下跌的主要原因是地缘政治冲突、政策收紧、经济下行压力等因素的影响。

但大宗商品和金融期货交易出现分化。从商品期货期权市场看,2022年前5个月成交量同比下降21.3%,成交额同比下降14.7%年,分别占市场总量的97.78%和77%。从金融期货市场来看,2022年前5个月,累计成交5500万手,累计成交48.21万亿元。同比分别增长8.81%和下降3.66%,分别占全国市场的2.22%和23%。.

商品期货市场成交量明显下降,这与大宗商品基本见顶见回落密切相​​关。 2021年四季度期权市场增速放缓,2022年1-5月交易规模下降;然而,“黑天鹅”事件和国际地缘政治冲突促使实体公司、金融机构和投资机构积极进入国内期货期权市场进行风险对冲,并加强原油、贵金属、非黑色金属和农产品,从而减少了期货市场交易规模的下降。振幅。

今年前五个月最活跃的期货品种中,PTA、甲醇、钢铁、豆粕、燃料油、菜粕、白银、豆棕榈油、PVC、玻璃纯碱、铁矿石、沪深300、沪深500 、镍、铜、铝、天然橡胶、原油、黄金、沥青、纸浆、国债期货交易量和成交量均位居前30位,但这些最活跃的品种在前5个月,仅有PVC、铁矿石、纯碱、低硫燃料油、原油、棕榈油和股指期货等少数品种成交量同比增加。

At the same time, the market has shown four growth points: First, since 2022, the trading volume of the financial futures sector has increased by 8.8% year-on-year, the most important of which is the large increase in the trading volume of treasury bond futures. 85% and 86% respectively; 5-year treasury bond futures trading volume and value increased by 60% and 63% respectively; 10-year treasury bond futures trading volume and turnover increased by 20% and 23%, respectively, reflecting the CFFEX Treasury bond futures are increasingly valued and actively participated by domestic financial institutions, investment institutions and other institutional investors.The trading volume and turnover of CSI 500 stock index futures increased by 11% and 9% respectively, and the trading volume of SSE 50 stock index futures increased by 12% year-on-year.

Second, since 2022, the transaction of commodity options in my country has developed well, and the market share has further increased rapidly.From January to May, the trading volume of commodity options reached more than 122.32 million lots, a year-on-year increase of 67%; the turnover was 131.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 40%.At the end of May, the open interest of commodity options reached 2.85 million contracts, a year-on-year increase of 23%.Among them, the trading volume of soybean meal options was 21.28 million, accounting for 17% and ranking first; corn and PTA ranked second and third respectively.The turnover of iron ore options was 20.9 billion yuan, accounting for 16%, ranking first; the turnover of crude oil and palm oil options ranked second and third, with turnover of 17.4 billion yuan and 17 billion yuan respectively.

Third, the overall trading volume and turnover of the chemical sector in the futures market increased year-on-year, up 5% and 28% respectively.

Fourth, the oil and oil sector in the futures market has sprung up, with the turnover increasing by 17% year-on-year.Among them, the turnover of peanut and palm oil futures increased by 236% and 72% respectively year-on-year.

Wang Jun, Dean of Founder Futures Research Institute, analyzed that looking forward to June, with the steady recovery of the domestic economy, a large number of enterprises have increased their risk management efforts and actively participated in futures and options hedging transactions. Under the economic and financial risks, the risk hedging operation using financial futures options will also be increased, and the transaction scale of the national futures market will further rebound.

(Editor in charge: Guan Jing

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